Scenario Analysis of Air Quality Improvement in Warsaw, Poland, by the End of the Current Decade

Very low air quality in the Warsaw conurbation, Poland, similarly to case many large European cities, poses a serious threat residents’ health, being significant source of premature mortality. Many results presented earlier publications indicated local heating installations and car traffic as main emission categories responsible for this adverse population exposure, where dominant polluting compounds are NOx, PM10, PM2.5, BaP. The last two mainly originate from individual household installations, both city its vicinity. To reduce health risk pollution, authorities have recently made fundamental decisions, related housing sector, aimed at radical decarbonization all surroundings. On other hand, ongoing modernization city’s fleet (including public transport), taking into account restrictive EU standards, well quickly growing share electric hybrid cars (BEVs PHEVs), gives good prospect improvement conurbation. subject paper is quantitative assessment current decade (by 2030), resulting above activities. final expressed attributed reduction which was found be 28–30% with respect NOx PM, associated risk, i.e., 204 fewer avoidable deaths 607 PM2.5.